Midway through the year a friend of the blog sent us an EXCELLENT observation . . .
The numbers might be a "reverse dead cat bounce" in action.
Meaning . . .
The drop in KCMO crime is sort of the opposite of a dead cat bounce . . . Homicides got so high in the last few years that they're trending downward by chance not by better policy.
Don't worry, it gets worse . . .
More skeptical souls contend that record high homicides over the course of Mayor Q's tenure inadvertently "eliminated" many of this cowtown's most violent offenders and the numbers declined given their absence.
The only thing we know for certain is that a violent late Summer and holiday season don't inspire much cause for hope . . . Here's the word on a thoughtful local column . . . Check-it:
"Homicides may continue to decrease, or 2024 may be an aberration in a yearslong trend upward. We want to believe leaders have a plan for addressing crime and are executing it. But doing so requires placing hope over experience. "
Read more via www.TonysKansasCity.com link . . .
Kansas City Star: Kansas City crime: Is this year’s homicide rate a fluke or a sign of change?
Developing . . .
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